Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.112990 0.130679 0.150210 0.173372 0.200094 0.229958 0.265878
2025-12-07 0.082453 0.105431 0.133407 0.169973 0.216523 0.273840 0.349847
2025-12-14 0.066320 0.090935 0.123013 0.167874 0.229028 0.309562 0.423848
2025-12-21 0.056771 0.082410 0.117727 0.169921 0.245156 0.349815 0.506780
2025-12-28 0.051346 0.078309 0.117278 0.177687 0.269075 0.402375 0.612092
2026-01-04 0.046288 0.073789 0.115279 0.182410 0.288455 0.449834 0.714830
2026-01-11 0.042003 0.069720 0.113210 0.186385 0.306630 0.496841 0.821629
2026-01-18 0.037927 0.065357 0.109993 0.187867 0.320601 0.538232 0.923535
2026-01-25 0.033772 0.060277 0.104902 0.185446 0.327515 0.568400 1.009578
2026-02-01 0.029639 0.054684 0.098230 0.179389 0.327248 0.586016 1.075357
2026-02-08 0.027461 0.052282 0.096773 0.182249 0.342811 0.632359 1.196733
2026-02-15 0.025259 0.049552 0.094382 0.183037 0.354508 0.672688 1.311037
2026-02-22 0.023512 0.047523 0.093133 0.185975 0.370843 0.723785 1.452539
2026-03-01 0.021162 0.044039 0.088742 0.182338 0.374074 0.750435 1.549665
2026-03-08 0.019250 0.041201 0.085273 0.180087 0.379690 0.782092 1.659992
2026-03-15 0.018001 0.039582 0.084062 0.182282 0.394563 0.833655 1.816806
2026-03-22 0.017439 0.039360 0.085693 0.190612 0.423186 0.916312 2.048431
2026-03-29 0.016624 0.038480 0.085822 0.195678 0.445253 0.987286 2.262277
2026-04-05 0.015806 0.037497 0.085611 0.199940 0.465952 1.057305 2.481497
2026-04-12 0.014853 0.036089 0.084298 0.201530 0.480708 1.115576 2.680073
2026-04-19 0.013691 0.034053 0.081334 0.198933 0.485410 1.151463 2.830002
2026-04-26 0.012386 0.031520 0.076942 0.192437 0.480099 1.163541 2.924045
2026-05-03 0.011792 0.030680 0.076493 0.195504 0.498371 1.233210 3.166775